The Endgame

January 17, 2019

What might the end of the partial government shutdown look like? Of course the answer to that question is based on the assumption that Trump and Pelosi are able to put the national interest ahead of politics and ego. This might be too much to ask, but let’s give it the ol’ college try or better yet the ol’ rational leader try.

Scenario # 1 – Republican leaders in both house of Congress start to really feel the heat from constituents, especially those people standing in airport security lines for hours, and muster sufficient votes to override Trump’s veto ending the shutdown. Two-thirds of both the Senate and House would have to be on board but if Mitch McConnell gives the OK, Trump could save face and say he tried but Congress overruled him on the wall. This is not some wild/implausible scenario because politicians know when to “fold them” if they feel voter wrath.

Scenario # 2 – Nancy Pelosi uses some new number for border security and the wall in exchange for major immigration reform – protecting the Dreamers,  ending the roadblocks for those seeking asylum, and maybe even beginning a process of establishing a pathway to citizenship to those here illegally. Such a mega deal is likely a bit far fetched but Trump is so boxed into a corner right now that he might agree to a larger reform if he could claim some sort of victory, any victory.

Scenario # 3 – Government employees go to the streets and use the power of the media to further erode Trump’s position. Right now what is presented on news programs are singular stories of hardship, but if thousands of workers march on Washington or to the offices of members of Congress then a protest movement is formed that would be impossible to ignore. Add a bit of non-violent sit down strikes into the mix and those in power will be hard pressed to look away.

Scenario # 4 – Major business leaders band together and buy television time, stage a Twitter attack on Trump and reach out to members of Congress demanding that the shutdown end because it is costing their business and the national economy a fortune. If Congress won’t listen to the federal workers or CNN, they just might listen to the big banks, the Fortune 500 companies and all those billionaires who just want to end the uncertainty. Can you imagine the impact that public comments from Warren Buffett or Bill Gates demanding an end to shutdown would have on the White House and Congress?

Scenario # 5 – The President gives his State of the Union and continues his tirade against the Democrats for denying him the wall; Pelosi refuses to budge; the federal workers head deeper into debt, the country inches a bit closer to a recession, and Americans lose whatever confidence they have in government. The mess continues.

God Save the United States.

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